Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004353 0.004584 0.004821 0.005083 0.005366 0.005662 0.005995
2025-08-24 0.003939 0.004278 0.004642 0.005063 0.005540 0.006063 0.006686
2025-08-31 0.003667 0.004065 0.004504 0.005028 0.005640 0.006337 0.007199
2025-09-07 0.003441 0.003874 0.004363 0.004960 0.005677 0.006518 0.007592
2025-09-14 0.003252 0.003708 0.004234 0.004889 0.005693 0.006660 0.007929
2025-09-21 0.003132 0.003615 0.004179 0.004896 0.005795 0.006903 0.008398
2025-09-28 0.002945 0.003429 0.004002 0.004741 0.005684 0.006866 0.008496
2025-10-05 0.002851 0.003351 0.003952 0.004738 0.005758 0.007063 0.008908
2025-10-12 0.002807 0.003331 0.003969 0.004817 0.005938 0.007405 0.009530
2025-10-19 0.002714 0.003245 0.003899 0.004780 0.005961 0.007534 0.009861
2025-10-26 0.002633 0.003171 0.003840 0.004752 0.005994 0.007675 0.010213
2025-11-02 0.002555 0.003097 0.003778 0.004717 0.006012 0.007794 0.010537
2025-11-09 0.002527 0.003088 0.003801 0.004797 0.006194 0.008153 0.011246
2025-11-16 0.002462 0.003027 0.003753 0.004779 0.006237 0.008314 0.011663
2025-11-23 0.002395 0.002963 0.003697 0.004746 0.006255 0.008439 0.012028
2025-11-30 0.002322 0.002886 0.003623 0.004683 0.006227 0.008491 0.012277
2025-12-07 0.002251 0.002812 0.003548 0.004617 0.006190 0.008526 0.012497
2025-12-14 0.002210 0.002776 0.003525 0.004624 0.006260 0.008727 0.013005
2025-12-21 0.002119 0.002670 0.003401 0.004481 0.006099 0.008559 0.012874
2025-12-28 0.002081 0.002634 0.003375 0.004478 0.006149 0.008726 0.013331
2026-01-04 0.002070 0.002636 0.003401 0.004551 0.006318 0.009091 0.014163
2026-01-11 0.002024 0.002588 0.003355 0.004516 0.006319 0.009180 0.014500
2026-01-18 0.001983 0.002546 0.003316 0.004491 0.006331 0.009289 0.014882